PREMIUM
AAA's 10* CBB "ASSASSIN!" (INSANE 8-2 +$5,660 L10 NCAAB PICKS!)
(NCAAB) Denver vs. Stanford,
Point Spread: 11.00 | -106.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 11.00 | -106.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Denver.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Denver is still 20-17 ATS in its last 37 as an underdog and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more, while Stanford is just 11-17 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-5 ATS this year) and 2-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd (also just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing on seven or more days of rest.)
The bottom line: Stanford comes in off an upset loss, falling 76-68 to LBSU as a 7-point favorite. With games at home upcoming against San Francisco, Kentucky, Cal and UCLA, it's not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Denver had its two game win streak snapped in an 83-63 setback to Northern Colorado as a 5.5 point underdog. Suffice it to say, the Pioneers upcoming schedule is far less daunting, with Montana State at home up next. We think the Cardinal do indeed get caught looking past DENVER today, so grab the points.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Denver is still 20-17 ATS in its last 37 as an underdog and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more, while Stanford is just 11-17 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-5 ATS this year) and 2-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd (also just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing on seven or more days of rest.)
The bottom line: Stanford comes in off an upset loss, falling 76-68 to LBSU as a 7-point favorite. With games at home upcoming against San Francisco, Kentucky, Cal and UCLA, it's not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Denver had its two game win streak snapped in an 83-63 setback to Northern Colorado as a 5.5 point underdog. Suffice it to say, the Pioneers upcoming schedule is far less daunting, with Montana State at home up next. We think the Cardinal do indeed get caught looking past DENVER today, so grab the points.
AAA Sports
