PREMIUM
**OFF ANOTHER SWEEP!** VERY EARLY AFC SUPER TOTAL (5-0/100% LAST SUNDAY!)
(NFL) Houston vs. Jacksonville,
Total: 38.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 38.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* AFC SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between the Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in three of five against teams with winning records this year and in both games that it's tried to revenge a loss, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of its last 20 at home and in three of its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: Houston has lost three straight plays with revenge after falling 29-7 to Jacksonville earlier in the year. The Jags are rolling, they can solidfy their lead atop the division and come in off a big 30-24 beatdown of the Seahawks. When you add it all up, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy call on the total in this one.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in three of five against teams with winning records this year and in both games that it's tried to revenge a loss, while Jacksonville has seen the total go OVER the number in 12 of its last 20 at home and in three of its last five after two or more consecutive SU victories.
The bottom line: Houston has lost three straight plays with revenge after falling 29-7 to Jacksonville earlier in the year. The Jags are rolling, they can solidfy their lead atop the division and come in off a big 30-24 beatdown of the Seahawks. When you add it all up, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy call on the total in this one.
AAA Sports
