PREMIUM
**OFF ANOTHER SWEEP!** 10* VERY EARLY SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (22-5 +$16,070 w/ 10* NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Carolina vs. Toronto,
Money Line: -127.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -127.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Maple Leafs.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Carolina is just 7-11 (-4.9 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 4-6 (-2.8 units) when playing with two days of rest, while Toronto is 2-1 (+1 unit) this season after playing three consecutive road games and 2-0 (+2 units) when playing with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: Toronto will be by far the "hungrier" team today as it comes in off three straight road losses. And with a big road trip starting tomorrow night in Columbus, the rested Leafs will be leaving everything they have on the ice this afternoon as they try to secure the victory on home ice. Carolina does play with revenge after falling 5-4 to the Leafs in late November, but after three straight wins, including a very satisfying 2-1 home victory over Columbus on Saturday, we absolutely expect the visitors to have a predictable letdown here. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on TORONTO.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Carolina is just 7-11 (-4.9 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and only 4-6 (-2.8 units) when playing with two days of rest, while Toronto is 2-1 (+1 unit) this season after playing three consecutive road games and 2-0 (+2 units) when playing with three or more days of rest.
The bottom line: Toronto will be by far the "hungrier" team today as it comes in off three straight road losses. And with a big road trip starting tomorrow night in Columbus, the rested Leafs will be leaving everything they have on the ice this afternoon as they try to secure the victory on home ice. Carolina does play with revenge after falling 5-4 to the Leafs in late November, but after three straight wins, including a very satisfying 2-1 home victory over Columbus on Saturday, we absolutely expect the visitors to have a predictable letdown here. When you add it all up, it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying. Play on TORONTO.
AAA Sports
