We like the Arkansas State Red Wolves to defeat the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks on Saturday at 3:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Arkansas State are off a win and have won in three of the L4 weeks.

Louisiana Monroe have lost four straight games coming into this week. Road games haven't treated them too well this season.

The Red Wolves are a perfect 7-0 versus the spread in their L7 games played vs. ULM at home.

Ark State has also won six straight home games themselves.

The Warhawks are haven't won against ARKST in 15 years. The last time was in 2009. The Red Wolves are 14-0 straight up and against the spread in the L14 meetings.

We think that trend continues this weekend. Lay the small points.

AAA Sports