AAA's BIG-CHALK RUN-LINE CHOKE-OUT!
(MLB) Toronto vs. Baltimore,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -180.00 Toronto (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK RUN-LINE CHOKE-OUT on the Toronto Blue Jays.

I think this is a great situational play, the visitors will be plenty motivated here, while the home side is primed for a letdown after locking up the AL East title last night. Even if the Orioles run the table (11 games), it may still not be enough to secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, and as such, I think the the home side will take advantage of this situation and rest some regulars today. The Orioles hand the ball to Bud Norris (13-8, 3.74 ERA) who has been exceptional of late, he's 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA vs. the Jays this year, but I think will have his hands full vs. this determined visiting side. The visitors counter with JA Happ (9-10, 4.28 ERA) who has lost five of his last six despite posting a respectable 3.93 ERA. Note that Happ was dominant vs. the Rays on Friday, giving up one run and two hits over seven frames while walking one and strking out seven in an unfortunate 1-0 setback. And that's bad news for Baltimore as Happ has been excellent against it, going 1-2 with a tiny 2.32 ERA in his last five in the series (note that he's gone 1-1 against it this year, giving up just three runs in 14 innings with 18 K's and one walk). I think the pitchers are a "wash" and believe they'll battle each other into the latter frames, so in a game which will be decided late or in extras, I have absolutely no problem laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; play on TORONTO run-line.

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