AAA's EARLY *Chargers/Bills* BLOCKBUSTER! 22-12 (65%) NFL Y-T-D!
(NFL) San Diego vs. Buffalo,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -115.00 San Diego (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the San Diego Chargers.

I think Philip Rivers and the high-flying Chargers have a legitimate shot at stealing one today, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Buffalo has been getting the job done with "smoke and mirrors", it's tied with New Orleans for a league-best 10 drives inside the red-zone, but has scored just three TDs; note that the Bills would score just one TD in six trips to the red zone in last Sunday's 29-10 win over Miami. So far it's been opportunistic special teams play which has been the difference for the Bills, CJ Spiller has a 102 yard kickoff return for a TD, the team has also blocked a punt and recovered a muffed punt. The Buffalo defense has helped in masking a pretty inept offensive unit as the team has forced five turnovers and totaled six sacks while ranking fifth against the run. The Chargers, who will be down Ryan Matthews at RB, will definitely be trying to turn this one into a "track meet" and I simply can't see Bills QB EJ Manuel and company keeping pace. The Buffalo offense has been limited to just 28 first downs (second fewest in the NFL), while Manuel has thrown for just 375 yards. The Chargers come to town after beating defending champion Seattle 30-21 last week and will turn to a trio of potential backs to replace Matthews in Donald Brown, Danny Woodhead and rookie Branden Oliver. In my opinion, it's not going to matter; the strength of the Bills defense is its run stop, meaning that Philip Rivers is going to be in for another productive day; Rivers shredded the Seahawks vaunted secondary and his favorite weapon was veteran TE Antonio Gates who would match a career high with three TDs (note that Gates has four TD's in four career games vs. Buffalo). This matchup is significant as the Bills have allowed their first two opponents to throw for a combined 590 total yards, with the opposing TE's catching a whopping 16 passes. Note that San Diego is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 on the road and a near-perfect 8-1 ATS in its last nine games played in the month September. And note that Bufflao is 0-4 ATS the last two seasons off a win vs. a division rival. I think that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to SAN DIEGO as the sharp wager in this contest.

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