AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NFL) New England vs. Buffalo,
Point Spread: 3.00 | 100.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Loss
1* Free Play Bills.

I think the Bills offer great value this week as a home dog to a New England team that isn't the same as year's past. After scuffling the first few week, the visiting Patriots (3-2) looked a lot better in beating the undefeated Bengals 43-17 last Sunday night. QB Tom Brady had two TD's on 295 yards passing. Rob Gronkowski had 100 yards receiving and a touchdown pass in the victory as well. Remember though, the win came after a week of media speculation on whether or not the Patriots were still a team that could compete with the league's elite. The Buffalo Bills (3-2) are coming off a surprising 17-14 win over Detroit on the road in Week 5; the Bills scored 17 unanswered points to get the come from behind victory. New starting QB Kyle Orton completed 30 of 43 passes for 308 yards with a touchdown and an interception in his Bills debut after replacing the ineffective EJ Manuel. The Bills are now 11-5 in home games the last three seasons and I think they can give New England everything it can handle here. The Patriots pulled out a 23-21 victory at Ralph Wilson Stadium last season on a last second field goal, which means that the Bills now come in looking for revenge against arguably their biggest threat in the AFC East. I think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for New England as well; Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said the players played with a chip on their shoulders last week: "I think we've played hard a lot this year, but we were able to execute things a little bit better. Of course, there was more emotion and energy as we were making plays." I think that emotion helped mask some lingering problems that this Patriots team still has on both sides of the ball though. And note, that emotion will obvoiusly be much hard to duplicate on the road where the Pats are just 1-2 SU and ATS this season. The Bills haven't had a lot of chances to lay the boots to the Patriots over the last decade and I think they will relish this moment. While the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can

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