AAA's THURSDAY NIGHT PRIME-TIME TOTAL BEATDOWN!
(NFL) San Diego vs. Denver,
Total: 52.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* TOTAL BEATDOWN on the UNDER between the San Diego Chargers and the Denver Broncs.

Denver has played to three straight "OVERS." QB Peyton Manning set the new NFL record for passing TD's last week in a 42-17 rout of the 49ers. The Chargers have been "getting the job done" on the arm of QB Philip Rivers all year. Despite all of these facts, I think Thursday night's game sets up as a lower-scoring affair. The AFC West lead is at stake here: "We're playing a great team in the Chargers, a team we're very familiar with, as they are with us," Manning assessed on Tuesday. "They beat us last year, so we got to get ready on this short week." Manning had actually gone 3-0 vs. the Bolts before the Chargers won 27-20 at Mile High back on December 12th. In that game, Rivers was just 12 of 20 for 166 yards, it was RB Ryan Mathews who saved the day, he ran 29 times for 127 yards and a TD. Mathews is out with injury, but Branden Oliver has been a great stop-gap, he's rushed for 316 yards and two TD's while posting a 4.7 YPC average in three games as the full time starter. It's true that Denver is much better against the run this year than last, but I expect San Diego to once again test the Broncos unit on the short week; also note, while Rivers has 17 TD's to just three INT's this year, the tell-tale signs that he's starting to slow down have already started to occur, he's coming off his least productive game of the year, going 17 of 31 for 205 yards, two TD's and one INT in a 23-20 setback to Kansas City on Sunday. Note that San Diego has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last four games off a loss vs. a division rival, while Denver has seen it stay below the posted number in nine of its last 13 vs. divisional foes. I think these two super star, but aging QB's come out a bit flat on the short week and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, in my opinion all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the sharp wager in this contest.

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