The San Antonio Spurs are coming off a dominant 144-118 win over Milwaukee on Friday, but this sets up a tough back-to-back spot against a well-rested Miami team. The Spurs are just 2-4 ATS on no rest (0-2 ATS after a win) and 8-12 ATS following a victory this season. The Heat have had two full days to regroup since their 126-106 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday, giving them a significant edge in preparation and fresh legs.

In addition to the Heat, I also like the over as the Spurs tired legs will make it difficult to get stops.

3% PLAY ON THE OVER.