The Baltimore Ravens have had success in previous playoff games at Foxboro, but I don't think it's realistic to compare the former Super Bowl champs of 2013. The Pats are also much stronger on the defensive side of the ball than they were in previous seasons.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Coaching - A win over the Ravens would make it 20 career playoff wins for Bill Belichick, tying him with Tom Landry for the most in history. Belichick has had two weeks to scheme in preparation for the Ravens, and I'm sure he'll have a few tricks up his sleeve.

2. Home Cookin' - The Pats only loss at Foxboro this season came in a meaningless game against Buffalo, after they had already clinched a first round bye. Tom Brady sat on the bench for most of that game.

3. X-Factor - Patriots are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the New England Patriots (10*)