The Patriots scored a whopping 45 points in a win over the Colts in the AFC Championship Game, but it's bound to be a whole lot tougher to put up points on the league's #1 ranked defense. We saw the total go over in last year's Super Bowl, but I think the number is a little too high here between two teams with great defenses.


Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have seen the total go over in each of the last three meetings, but the number for the Super Bowl is significantly higher than it was in any of those games.

2. Strategy - I expect both coaches to try to establish the run early, as both these defenses are very tough to throw against. Both teams have been quite successful running the ball with LeGarrette Blount and Marshawn Lynch, and I expect them both to get a healthy workload here on Sunday.

3. X-Factor - The under is 11-5 in Seahawks last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Super Bowl to go UNDER (10*)