North Carolina is reeling after losing five of their last seven, but they might like their chances of getting back on track in Miami this afternoon. Of those five losses, three were against teams ranked in the Top 25. Miami has been inconsistent, and didn't look particularly good against Florida State on Wednesday.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Hurricanes haven't enjoyed much of a home court advantage lately, and their 10-5 record in Miami is pretty average. They've failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight home games.

2. Situational/Motivational - The Tar Heels will be playing with a chip on their shoulder coming off a home loss to N.C. State. "We just didn't come to play," Justin Jackson said. "We got beat by a team that wanted it more than we did, and we just didn't come out from the jump ball to match the intensity." They've been a good bet when coming off a double-digit home loss, covering the spread in five of their last seven such situations.

3. X-Factor - The Tar Heels should own the boards, coming in averaging 38.2 rebounds per game in comparison to 30.4 RPG for the Canes.

Selection: This is a play on the North Carolina Tar Heels (10*)