The Warriors came into the NBA Finals as big favorites, but it's the Cavs that are now in the driver's seat after earning a split on the road in the first two games. The problem is, can Cleveland really count on Steph Curry shooting 21% again here in Game 3, I don't think so.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Warriors haven't had any trouble winning on the road in these playoffs, and they've won 11 of their last 16 road games versus teams with a winning record. They are also 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with Cleveland.

2. LeBron is Human - It wasn't his triple-double, his 39 points, or his overall dominant performance that caused the Cavs to win Game 2. It was the defense that held the league MVP to what might be the worst shooting performance of his career. I don't believe that Matthew Deladova can silence Steph Curry for the rest of this series.

3. X-Factor - The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.

Selection: This is a play on the Golden State Warriors (10*)