We are likely to see a pitchers duel at U.S. Cellular Field Monday night when both the visiting Toronto Blue Jays and the hosts the Chicago White Sox will send their respective ace to the mound. I see good value on the underdog on the run-line in what is expected to be a low-scoring and tight contest.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Toronto Blue Jays will hand the ball to Mark Buerhle (9-4, 3.64 ERA) who's been dominant for more than a month now, going 3-0 with a 1.67 ERA in his last six starts. The veteran left-hander is off back-to-back wins while surrendering only three runs in 14 innings while receiving a whooping 23 runs of support. The White Sox will counter with Chris Sale (6-4, 2.87) who has retired batters at an impressive rate of late with 97 strikeouts in his last 60 innings. He's yet to feel the wrath of Toronto's bats this season though, and run-support is likely to be scarce for the 26 year old ace as well.

2. The Blue Jays Bats - Toronto's 460 runs scored on the year is 81 more than the Yankees in second place and 189 more than the White Sox who are dead last for runs scored in the big leagues.

3. X-Factor - Justin Smoak is 4-for-10 with three homers and three walks in his last three games.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (8*)