1* free play on MIA@SD to go OVER the total...

The Miami Marlins are coming into this contest riding a three-game winning streak which includes a 3-0 win against the San Diego Padres in the opener of a three-game set last night. I don't think we'll see another Marlin's pitcher throw a shutout tonight, and the total looks a little too low considering the amount of runs scored in San Diego this season.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Fish will hand the ball to Dan Haren (7-5, 3.46 ERA) who was lit up for five runs on seven hits with two homers in six innings of an 8-7 loss at Philadelphia his last start. Not that surprising as he's 3-3 with a 4.13 ERA away from home for the season. The Padres will counter with Andrew Cashner (3-10, 4.10) who's off a sub-par outing as well when he was touched for four runs on three hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 5-2 loss at PNC Park.

2. Trends: The Over is 13-3 in Padres last 16 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

3. X-Factor - Alexi Amarista was 2-for-3 last night and he's 5-for-11 with two doubles and a homer off Haren lifetime.

Selection: This is a play on MIA@SD to go OVER (Free)