The Patriots and the Steelers kick off the 2015 season with a Thursday Night game at Foxboro, and Tom Brady will be back at quarterback for New England. The announcement that Brady's suspension was overturned caused bookmakers to quickly adjust the lines, and the total has moved several points. With a big number here, I think the value lies with a play on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pittsburgh's Offense - The Steelers are expected to have one of the NFL's most prolific offenses this year, but they come into this game a little shorthanded. They will without Le'Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant who are serving suspensions, and starting center Maurkice Pouncey is sidelined with a broken ankle.

2. Tom Brady - Needless to say, he's had a challenging off-season filled with turmoil and distractions. If his performance this pre-season is any indication, he could be in for a rocky start. The veteran threw just one touchdown pass and a pair of interceptions in limited action.

3. X-Factor - Eight of the last 10 head to head meetings between these two teams have gone over the total, but the number in this game is much higher than it was in nine of those previous 10 contests.


Selection: This is a play on the Steelers@Patriots to go Under the total (10*)