The Green Bay Packers are coming off a rough pre-season, losing their top receiver Jordy Nelson for the entire season with a torn ACL. The Packers will likely have enough weapons to beat the Bears in Week 1, but I think the total for this game looks a little high. My money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Jay Cutler - Chicago's quarterback has had his moments, but has been a major disappointment overall. He's really struggled against the Packers, with a record of 1-10, throwing 22 picks in those games.

2. Injuries - The Packers aren't the only team battling injuries, Chicago might be without Alshon Jeffery who has a calf injury, and Kevin White has been placed on the PUP list with a leg injury.

3. X-Factor - The Bears have seen the total go under in five of their last six home games, and weather is always a concern in the "Windy City".

Selection: This is a play on the Packers@Bears to go UNDER the total (8*)