The Nevada Wolfpack lost by a score of 44-20 to Arizona last week, and they are a big underdog on the road at Texas A&M this Saturday. The Aggies stock is high coming off a pair of convincing wins, but I am expecting them to suffer a let down here in their final non-conference game, with a date with Arkansas looming large next weekend.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Line Value - The Wolfpack haven't lost by 30+ points since suffering a 62-7 defeat at the hands of Florida State in 2013. Since then they have played 24 games, including 11 straight up wins during that span.

2. Kyle Allen - The Aggies quarterback was incredibly efficient last week, throwing for 126 yards and three TDs on 10-of-13 passing. Still, it's tough to run up the score when you only attempt 13 passes, and I think this game could be a little closer than last week's blowout win over Ball State.

3. X-Factor - The Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, while the Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Nevada Wolfpack (8*)