The American Athletic Conference has been a bit of a surprise this season, with three teams that remain undefeated heading into Week 9. The strongest of those three is likely the Memphis Tigers, who upset Ole Miss by a score of 37-24 in their last home game. They host the Tulane Green Wave this week, and the bookmakers are expecting a blowout. The line has become a little inflated though, and I am going to take the points with the visitors.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Line Value - Memphis has won and covered in eight straight meetings with Tulane. This week though, the Tigers are asked to cover a number far greater than in any of those previous eight contests.

2. Memphis Defense - The Tigers score a lot of points, but they also give up more than their fair share. They rank 81st nationally allowing opponents to average 28.6 points per game. They gave up 42 points to Tulsa last week, a team that ranks below Tulane in the standings.

3. X-Factor - The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Tulane Green Wave (8*)