*8* play on Alabama.

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been quite competitive in conference pay, and they will be just a slight favorite at home to Tennessee tonight. The Vols are coming off an upset win over South Carolina, but I think they are due for a let down tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Vols are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 meetings with Alabama, and they have lost four of five on the road this season.

2. Home Cookin' - The Crimson Tide have covered the spread in six of their last eight home games, and while they are coming off a home loss to LSU, that game went right down to the wire (72-70).

3. X-Factor - Alabama is one of the best defensive teams in the SEC, allowing just 67 points per game. Tennessee is one of the worst, surrendering over 80 points per game on the road.

Selection: This is a play on the Alabama Crimson Tide (8*)