This is a 10* ESPN TV-WINNER on the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks will host the Indian Pacers on Friday night, and the home team is coming off back-to-back blowout wins. The Pacers beat the Hawks in Indiana last Thursday, but I think Atlanta avenges that loss at home tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Pacers have struggled on the road, with a record of 11-15 so far this season, and they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven on the road.

2. Paul George - The Pacers leading scorer is slumping, shooting just 30 percent over his last four games. He's averaged under 15 points in those games, and he's been even worse against the Hawks. George has totaled 20 points on 20 percent shooting in two games versus Atlanta this season.

3. X-Factor - The Pacers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Hawks (10*)