1* free play on the Memphis Grizzlies...

The Memphis Grizzlies are 9-2 in their last 11 overall, and they are a solid 19-8 at home this season. Memphis will host the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday, and Portland is a lot more competitive on it's home floor. I think there is value with the Grizzlies as a short favorite at home.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Defense - The Grizzlies are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and they currently rank 6th in opponent's scoring average allowing 99 points per game. Former Blazer Zach Randolph is cleaning up the boards lately, with 30 rebounds in his last three games.

2. Previous History - The Blazers have won 15 of the last 18 meetings between the two teams, and Portland has only covered the spread once in it's last seven visits to Memphis. The Blazers are 4-12-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.

3. X-Factor - Memphis has been a good bet when coming off a loss, and their last game was a home loss to Dallas. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five when coming off a loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Memphis Grizzlies (Free)