*10* EASTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER Bucks/Celtics.

The Milwaukee Bucks are on a roll, coming into Boston as winners of four of their last five. The Celtics are back home after dropping two of three on a recent road trip, and they will be the favorite to win tonight's contest. My money is on under, as this total appears to be a little inflated.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Bucks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Their success comes in part to their strong play defensively, and they've gone under the totals in 10 of their last 11 when coming off a win.

2. Three-Point Shooting - The Bucks rank dead last in the NBA averaging just five made three-pointers per game. The Celtics rank 26th in the NBA shooting just 33 percent from beyond the arc.

3. X-Factor - The under is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last 11 road games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Bucks@Celtics to go UNDER the total (10*)