At 8:00pm ET, my NBA Conference Finals Total Of the Year is on Min/Dal Under the total. In both the East and the West, the Conference Finals have been high-scoring so far. That will change tonight! Dallas is 25-15 to the under the last 40 times it was off an upset win as underdog, 12-3 to the under its last 15 tries in that situation.

Minnesota games have been quite a lot lower-scoring when the Timberwolves were off a loss than when they were off a win. The last time that the Wolves were on a "losing streak," they held Denver to 70 points! Back home, the Mavericks will also be be better defensively. They have conceded 101 or less in 3 of their last 4 games here. These are 2 great defending teams and that will finally be on display. Play on the Under.