At 12 ET, my Early Riser is on UNC. I'm always happy to take points when I feel that the underdog has a great chance to win outright. That's the case on Saturday afternoon, at Virginia. North Carolina has lost some close ones and could easily have a better record. The Tar Heels have played 2 road games and both were extremely close. They lost by 1 at Duke and they won by 2, at Minnesota. Virginia got blown out last game and is off consecutive losses. The Cavaliers are 2-2 at home but the 2 wins were against Richmond and Boston College and they were down 14-0 early and 14-6 in the 4th quarter of the BC game. Three of the past 4 meetings, including each of the past 2, were decided by 3 or less. Expect another very close game and grab the points with visiting underdogs.