T.M. Selection: Nationals/Reds OVER.

I am on the over in the Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds game on Friday. The Nats have been scoring a lot of runs in their games lately. They have scored 7 runs themselves in 3/4 games of their last 4. Paolo Espino (5-5, 3.94 ERA) is starting for them and he has been involved in a lot of high scoring games when he pitches. In his last 10 starts, 7/10 of them have had 9+ runs total in them. He has a history this season of pitching a few good games back to back but then gets blown up and it has been a steady trend throughout the year. He has only allowed 1 run in his last 2 starts combines but allowed 5 in the start before those 2. I expect him to have a bad game and allow quite a few runs here. The Reds have also had a few high scoring games themselves lately. Sonny Gray (7-8, 3.84 ERA) is starting here and he has started to show some cracks lately. In his last 4 starts, he has allowed 2+ runs in each. He has also been allowing more runs in each game after during that time while his allowed hits have gone up too and his strikeouts have decreased in each game over his last 4 starts. I expect both of these pitchers to give up some runs in this one so I am on the over here.

T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Reds.