T.M. Selection: St Mary's - ML

I like the St Mary's Gaels to win this game against the VCU Rams on Friday. This will be a very common “upset” pick in the 1st Round. However, I'm not buying it. VCU struggled for most of their A10 Final against Dayton before finally pulling away late. St Mary's lost to the Zags in their Conference title game, but they've been. Avery strong team throughout this season. The Gaels play at a slower pace, but a pace that benefits their brand of basketball. They have shooters locked and loaded everywhere and kill your offensive momentum with their smothering defense. Last year when I watched this St Mary's team in the 1st Round, I actually liked Indiana. However, the Gaels' brand of basketball wins basketball games late in the year, especially in the tournament. Although they've never really made a huge run, I fully believe that they can do it this year. They'll definitely get by the Rams in a lower scoring game here to open things up.

T.M. Prediction: 71-50 St Mary's

Line: -170..

Line Parameter: play until -280..