T.M. Selection: SMU/Nevada OVER.

1) I look for the Mustangs and Wolfpack to give us some shoddy defense in this one Saturday.

2) Nevada is projected to be one of the worst teams in the nation this season and a sub-par defense is going to carry some blame for that for sure. Also, the Wolfpack offense was very bad last season and that will be their focus heading into the season. They need more point production.

3) SMU is a massive 4-touchdown favorite here and will be looking to put on a clinic but the Wolfpack should be able to do enough to help push this over the total as well. My numbers have the huge dogs getting to the 20-point range and, based on the big line on this game, that projects to a 47-20 game which gets us well over the number here.

4) The Mustangs averaged in the upper 30s for points last season and will take advantage of facing a bad team here. They also averaged about 450 yards per game last season and will air it out here and as the passing game opens up when facing one of the weakest run defense units around. Nevada will look to show some improvement on offense and should do that but the Wolfpack defense will continue to be exploited.

T.M. Prediction: 47-20 SMU.