T.M. Selection: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - ATS

This is just too many points for this match-up. The Jets have some problems defensively early this season including a couple of key players now out. The Patriots defense has been a great strength early this season. I also like the fact that NE is off a loss and NY is off a win. Look for the Patriots to respond here and they have a solid ground game on offense too and the Jets run defense has not been good. This is a lot of points for a questionable Jets team to be laying. They don't have the offensive prowess to command this much respect at home. Rodgers is still getting this team to all be on the same page offensively and the defense is just not there yet. Also, the Patriots have owned this series with SU wins in 7 of the last. Getting almost a full TD here is definitely generous based on early season returns. This one has great value, the way I see it, with the road dog.

T.M. Prediction: 21-20 Patriots.

Line: +6.5