T.M. Selection: Arizona State @ Texas Tech - OVER

I am on the OVER in the Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders game on Saturday, September 21st. Big 12 battle and I expect plenty of points here. The only game that Texas Tech did not score well was at Washington State. However, they piled up tons of yardage in that game and the Red Raiders certainly should have scored many more points than they did in that one. That is helping to keep this total lower than it should be because the Red Raiders defense is not great but their offense is even better than most realize. The Sun Devils have a dual threat QB and have also put up big points early this season. With the line ticking down a bit from low 60s to upper 50s we now have even more value than originally expected and that is why I am now going with one of my biggest plays of the season here. ASU has scored at least 30 in all 3 games and the Red Raiders averaging 45 ppg this season. The Sun Devils allowed over 400 yards to Texas State last week and the Red Raider defense has some issues as well this season which is the norm for the Red Raiders. I look for this to result in more points than most are expecting here. My numbers have this one getting to the low 70s rather than upper 50s and I am going with a Best Bet here.

T.M. Prediction: 37-34 Texas Tech.

Line: O/U 58