T.M. Selection: Atlanta - ML

I like the Atlanta Falcons to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday, October 3rd. The Falcons are at home and the line has moved toward Tampa Bay which is giving us excellent value here on Atlanta. The Falcons are such a small favorite now that we can get the money line at nearly a "pick" price and that is the way to go here. The Buccaneers run defense has some issues and once the Falcons ground attack is underway it will also allow Cousins to attack more through the air. The TB pass defense has not been great either and Cousins confidence is up after he engineered that game-winning drive versus the Eagles in primetime two weeks ago. The Bucs have the better record on the season and have won 6 of 8 in recent years' match-ups with the Falcons. I like Atlanta here and feel they were properly favored to begin with here and now our value is even more after the line movement. I will not hesitate to back this one strongly.

T.M. Prediction: 26-19 Falcons.

Line: -125