T.M. Selection: Toledo Rockets - Moneyline

1) I like the Toledo Rockets to win this game handily against the Ohio Bobcats on Wednesday, November 20th. The line is in the -1.5 to -2 range and for my money the better value is therefore with the money line in the -120 range.

2) The line has moved toward Ohio University as they are off a couple strong defensive performances. The Bobcats are a little over-valued now after 3 straight solid wins. Two of those wins were at home and the road win was against a horrible Kent State team. The Bobcats are 5-1 in MAC games this season but now go on the road to face a Rockets team that has dominated the series in recent meetings when playing in Toledo.

3) Big match-up edge when you compare the passing offenses of these two teams as the Rockets rate much higher. Even with windy conditions in Toledo for this one, the short passing game of Toledo will be a big difference. Home field also a huge factor here. Ohio University was 1-3 in road games this season before that big win over a bad Kent State team. Big value here! Lay the small price here with confidence!

T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Toledo.

Line: -120