PREMIUM
SEC Game of the Year
(NCAAB) Razorbacks (ARK) vs. Wildcats (UK),
Point Spread: 11.50 | -120.00 Razorbacks (ARK) (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 11.50 | -120.00 Razorbacks (ARK) (Away)
Result: Win
T.M. Selection: Arkansas.
I'm expecting a super tight battle here between these teams. Yes, Kentucky is the ranked team and has the much better record in this match-up overall, but it is consistently overvalued in my opinion as the Wildcats only 4-3 in SEC action. Kentucky has played 7 games in SEC action just like Arkansas. In those 7 games the Wildcats have only one win by more than 6 points and here they are laying more than 10 against a Razorbacks team coached by former UK coach Calipari. Even though the Razorbacks are off to a tough start in SEC action at 1-6, you know they are going to be highly motivated by Calipari to give maximum effort here. I expect one of their best games of the season in this one. Also, Arkansas is 12-8 overall this season and only 4 of the 20 games have been a loss by more than an 8-point margin. Given all of the above and the Calipari angle, the Wildcats will have difficulty covering this large spread. No outright upset win here, but closer than expected. I believe Arkansas matches up well with Kentucky and the Wildcats, though ranked 12th in the nation, have not been overly dominant in terms of their winning margins in games. This one could even go down to the final possession!
T.M. Prediction: 80-77 Kentucky.
I'm expecting a super tight battle here between these teams. Yes, Kentucky is the ranked team and has the much better record in this match-up overall, but it is consistently overvalued in my opinion as the Wildcats only 4-3 in SEC action. Kentucky has played 7 games in SEC action just like Arkansas. In those 7 games the Wildcats have only one win by more than 6 points and here they are laying more than 10 against a Razorbacks team coached by former UK coach Calipari. Even though the Razorbacks are off to a tough start in SEC action at 1-6, you know they are going to be highly motivated by Calipari to give maximum effort here. I expect one of their best games of the season in this one. Also, Arkansas is 12-8 overall this season and only 4 of the 20 games have been a loss by more than an 8-point margin. Given all of the above and the Calipari angle, the Wildcats will have difficulty covering this large spread. No outright upset win here, but closer than expected. I believe Arkansas matches up well with Kentucky and the Wildcats, though ranked 12th in the nation, have not been overly dominant in terms of their winning margins in games. This one could even go down to the final possession!
T.M. Prediction: 80-77 Kentucky.