PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SUN BELT TOTAL OF THE MONTH (+$4K NCAAF RUN!)
(NCAAF) Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State,
10/22/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 27 - 3
Total: 66.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 66.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Louisiana Lafayette and Texas State.
Setting the scene: Louisiana Lafayette is coming off a 24-0 loss to App State last week, while Texas State lost 40-34 to Louisiana Monroe. Based on situation and strong/relevant O/U ATS trends, we believe that all signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this matchup.
The Ragin' Cajuns: Lafayette's offense looked horrible last week, picking up just 267 total yards. QB Anthony Jennings had 146 of those yards and he remains a lone "bright" spot for this struggling offensive unit.
The Bobcats: Texas State would lose by just six points last week, but the game wasn't nearly as close as the final outcome suggests, as the Warhawks would allow the Bobcats to inch closer in garbage time. Note that the offense only held the ball for 18 minutes the entire game and also turned it over three times. The defense wasn't much better, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Louisiana Lafayette's vanilla unit.
The bottom line: Note that the Cajuns have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Texas State has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a loss against a conference rival. Play the UNDER.
Setting the scene: Louisiana Lafayette is coming off a 24-0 loss to App State last week, while Texas State lost 40-34 to Louisiana Monroe. Based on situation and strong/relevant O/U ATS trends, we believe that all signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this matchup.
The Ragin' Cajuns: Lafayette's offense looked horrible last week, picking up just 267 total yards. QB Anthony Jennings had 146 of those yards and he remains a lone "bright" spot for this struggling offensive unit.
The Bobcats: Texas State would lose by just six points last week, but the game wasn't nearly as close as the final outcome suggests, as the Warhawks would allow the Bobcats to inch closer in garbage time. Note that the offense only held the ball for 18 minutes the entire game and also turned it over three times. The defense wasn't much better, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Louisiana Lafayette's vanilla unit.
The bottom line: Note that the Cajuns have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Texas State has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a loss against a conference rival. Play the UNDER.
