AAA's FRIDAY NIGHT 10* TOP TOTAL (4-0 +$4,000 w/ TOP RATED 10* CFB LAST WEEK!)
(NCAAF) Navy vs. USF, 10/28/2016 3:00 PM, Score: 45 - 52
Total: 66.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Navy and South Florida.

Setting the scene: No. 22 Navy has won two straight, while USC is coming off a loss on the road to Temple last Friday. All signs point to a war tonight and as such, we're expecting a lower-scoring final outcome.

Navy: The Midshipmen are ranked 17th in the nation in rushing as the triple option is keyed around the ground game. QB Will Worth has nine TD's on the ground, compared to just five through the air. Last week Worth had 201 yards and three TD's against Memphis on the ground and another two passing TD's as well. But it's been the Middies' defense which has turned the most heads this year, ranked 22nd in the nation in total yards given up.

South Florida: QB Quinton Flowers suffered a late hamstring injury in last week's loss to the Owls, but is expected to get the start tonight. The Bulls had won three straight before the setback. Defensively the team took a step back last week, allowing a whopping 319 rushing yards. Head coach Willie Taggart knows his defense needs to step up this week: "First, we've got to put guys in the position to make the plays. And if the guys can't do it, then put someone else in that can do it. But some of those missed tackles last week are by some of the guys that we count on the most." He went on to say: "We got physically dominated on both sides of the ball. We got outcoached. We didn't do anything right as a football team — offensively, defensively or special teams."

The bottom line: We're banking on USF playing much better defensively this week after the "brain fart" against Temple. Also note that Navy has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight when playing the role of underdog, while USF has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 14 against teams with winning records, including in two of three this season. Play the UNDER.

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