AAA's EARLY 3-GAME COLLEGE FOOTBALL PASS (3 NCAAF "BEST BETS!")
(NCAAF) Cincinnati vs. UCF, 11/12/2016 7:00 AM, Score: 3 - 24
Total: 51.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between Cincinnati and UCF.

REASONING: These teams need to start winning some games if they have any shot at earning a bowl berth and because of that, we're expecting this total to creep above the posted number once it's all said and done. Cincinnati comes in off a listless 20-3 home loss to BYU, while the Knights come off a convincing 37-6 drubbing over Tulane at home. Last year the Bearcats torched UCF to the tune of 52-7. The Bearcats have been getting inconsistent QB play, as both Gunner Kiel and Hayden Moore have struggled for the most part this season. So far Cincinnati has averaged just 20.6 PPG (after averaging 33.8 last season). The defense is ranked 48th overall in points allowed at 25 PPG. And now UFC will look to test that defense and earn its sixth win of the year. Last week the Knights used five turnovers to secure the lop-sided win over the Green Wave. So far UCF averages 31.8 PPG, led by QB Milton McKenzie, who has played the last six games and posted 1,200 yards with eight TD's and five INT's. The defense has so far given up 22.6 PPG, ranked 29th in the country.

The bottom line: We think the Bearcats offense shows up today, note that Cincinnati has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in its last two as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range and in seven of its last 12 against teams with winning records, while UCF has seen the total go OVER in six of its last eight off a win against a conference rival. Play the OVER.

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