AAA's 10* FRIDAY NIGHT "ASSASSIN!" (OFF RED HOT 3-1 THURSDAY!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Brooklyn, 02/10/2017 2:30 PM, Score: 108 - 99
Point Spread: 7.00 | -110.00 Brooklyn (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Brooklyn Nets.

REASONING: Miami continues to roll along, having won 12 in a row. The Heat have gone 11-0-1 ATS in that span. But with a game tomorrow night in Philadelphia, followed by another "cream puff" at home against Orlando, we think the Heat finally come in a bit complacent. Clearly the Nets are a horrible team, they're just 9-44. Brooklyn is the worst defensive club in the league in allowing 114 PPG. The Nets are decent offensively though, averaging right around 105 PPG. And note, despite the recent surge, the Heat are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring at 100.8 PPG. Granted, Miami's defense is pretty good (ranked 6th overall in allowing 101.9 per game), but as mentioned off the top, we feel this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. And note, the Heat are interestingly just 4-5 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while the Nets are 3-1 ATS in their last four against the Southeast. Miami may manage a victory here, but we think the hungry home side takes it down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the NETS.

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