This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

We feel this is a much bigger mismatch than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

Trevor Williams: The Pirates' starter is 1-2 with a 7.98 ERA this year. In his most recent outing he was rocked for eight runs off seven hits while walking one over three innings in a 12-1 loss to the Dodgers on Monday.

Taijuan Walker: He's 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA. Walker comes in off a loss at Coors Field, looking decent in allowing just three runs (one earned) over 5.2 innings.

The bottom line: Walker has so far looked pretty solid this year, while Williams has been a complete train-wreck. The D-Backs are coming off a convincing victory last night and we look for the team to carry that momentum over here. Note that the Pirates are just 7-14 (-7.4 units) this year following a loss, while Arizona is 11-9 (+2.6 units) following a victory. Lay the price, play on the DIAMONDBACKS.

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