**100% RUN TESTED!** THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (SPECIAL!) 4-0 ALL NFL IN WEEK 14!
(NFL) Denver vs. Indianapolis, 12/14/2017 3:25 PM, Score: 25 - 13
Total: 40.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Indianapolis Colts.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in four of six on the road already this year, while Indianapolis has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Jacoby Brissett vs. Trevor Siemian. These are two of the lowest scoring teams in the league, but with nothing to lose, we're expecting a wide-open affair. When these teams met last, it was Denver that scored the 34-20 victory last year. Suffice it to say, we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Play the OVER.

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