PREMIUM
GAME OF WEEK (NCAAF) OPENING SATURDAY 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK!
(NCAAF) Marshall vs. Colorado State,
12/16/2017 11:30 AM, Score: 31 - 28
Point Spread: 6.00 | -120.00 Marshall (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 6.00 | -120.00 Marshall (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Marshall.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Marshall is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog (including a perfect 5-0 ATS this season) and 4-0 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Colorado State is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest, 0-4 ATS in its last four neutral field contests and just 1-2 ATS in its last three non-conference games.
The bottom line: This is the New Mexico Bowl from Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. The Herd dropped its final two games of the year, but we think they are the more complete team of these two. QB Chase Litton had a 23:13 TD:INT ratio. The Marshall defense though is its strength and we think the unit will prove to be the difference maker in the end in this one. Colorado State's weakness is on the defensive side and it struggled against good passing teams. The offense led by QB Nick Stevens was impressive, as he'd finish with a 27:10 TD:INT. The Rams also have a powerful RB in Dalyn Dawkins, who we think will have major difficulty with this opportunistic Thundering Herd defense which allows just 125 rushing YPG (note that Marshall gives up just 19.2 PPG overall.) We're grabbing the points, play on the THUNDERING HERD.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Marshall is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog (including a perfect 5-0 ATS this season) and 4-0 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Colorado State is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two or more weeks of rest, 0-4 ATS in its last four neutral field contests and just 1-2 ATS in its last three non-conference games.
The bottom line: This is the New Mexico Bowl from Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. The Herd dropped its final two games of the year, but we think they are the more complete team of these two. QB Chase Litton had a 23:13 TD:INT ratio. The Marshall defense though is its strength and we think the unit will prove to be the difference maker in the end in this one. Colorado State's weakness is on the defensive side and it struggled against good passing teams. The offense led by QB Nick Stevens was impressive, as he'd finish with a 27:10 TD:INT. The Rams also have a powerful RB in Dalyn Dawkins, who we think will have major difficulty with this opportunistic Thundering Herd defense which allows just 125 rushing YPG (note that Marshall gives up just 19.2 PPG overall.) We're grabbing the points, play on the THUNDERING HERD.
AAA Sports
