PREMIUM
**OFF ANOTHER SWEEP!** 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR (INSANE 42-29 +$10,296 ALL NBA YTD!)
(NBA) Toronto vs. Philadelphia,
12/21/2017 2:00 PM, Score: 114 - 109
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Philadelphia 76ers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Toronto is interestingly just 6-7 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is 8-6 ATS this season against teams with winning records and 8-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: Whether 76ers' big man Joel Embiid plays or not, we're expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Philadelphia has lost eight of its last ten, including three straight. Most recently it was a setback to the lowly Kings, 101-96 on Tuesday. Note that Philadelphia does indeed play with revenge here as well after falling 128-94 to the Raptors in mid October. And with a game at Toronto on Saturday, tonight's contest takes on added importance to the home side. The Raptors on the other hand look poised for a letdown here in our opinion after last night's big 129-111 win at Charlotte. Both the conditions/situation and the numbers point to PHILADELPHIA as the savvy move in this particular matchup.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Toronto is interestingly just 6-7 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is 8-6 ATS this season against teams with winning records and 8-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: Whether 76ers' big man Joel Embiid plays or not, we're expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Philadelphia has lost eight of its last ten, including three straight. Most recently it was a setback to the lowly Kings, 101-96 on Tuesday. Note that Philadelphia does indeed play with revenge here as well after falling 128-94 to the Raptors in mid October. And with a game at Toronto on Saturday, tonight's contest takes on added importance to the home side. The Raptors on the other hand look poised for a letdown here in our opinion after last night's big 129-111 win at Charlotte. Both the conditions/situation and the numbers point to PHILADELPHIA as the savvy move in this particular matchup.
AAA Sports
