Point Spread: 1.50 | 105.00 Cincinnati (Home)
I think an outright win is possible here as well, but in the end I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The Dodgers lost 2 of 3 to the Indians over the weekend, while the Reds enter having lost 4 straight. Tony Gonsolin has been downright amazing for the Dodgers so far this season, but I say he finally has a letdown here. He's 8-0 with a 1.42 ERA, which is unsustainable in my opinion moving forward. The home side counters with the hungry Tyler Mahle, who has pitched better than his 2-5 win/loss record would indicate, entering with a respectable 4.46 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Mahle went 9 innings of scoreless ball against Arizona in his last start and he's thrown to a 3.07 ERA over his last 7 starts combined. In a contest that I seeing being decided late or even in extras, I'm grabbing the Reds on the runline option!