Total: 47.00 | 105.00 Over
Both teams would lose horribly in Week 1, only to bounce back and win big in Week 2. Louisiana Tech lost 48-16 in its opener to Oklahoma, before then trouncing Louisiana Lafayette 48-20 last week (both games flew well above the posted number). North Texas was smoked 38-7 by Texas in its opener, before then annihilating SMU 43-6 last weekend. It's hard to get a true read on either of these teams quite yet, certainly both of their competition last week was extremely poor, the teams they were facing will end up with no more than 2-3 wins at the end of the year. When these teams played last year, North Texas would win 28-13 and when the final whistle sounds at the end of this one, I expect a similar combined outcome. The Mean Green were very effective in slowing down the Bulldogs run game last season and I think it's this tough defensive unit which will prove to be the difference once again in the outcome of this play. Louisiana Tech's Kenneth Dixon had 184 yards on 12 carries last week, but he'll face a North Texas team which held the Mustangs to just 8 yards; note that the Mean Green are also a run first option, they had 245 yards on the ground last week. The ability of North Texas to stop the run will frustrate LTech and take it out of its comfort zone (note that the Mean Green have seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of their last 11 in front of the home town crowd). I think the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to the UNDER as the sharp wager in this one.