Total: 60.00 | -110.00 Over
The Bearcats have yet to a play a game this year, I think the extra two weeks in between isn't doing the team any favors and think it'll come out a little flat-footed here. In fact, it's something that the Cincinnati coaching staff has already touched upon: "We've had to be very imaginative the last few weeks trying to keep our guys focused on what they are doing, trying to get better," said Bearcats coach Tommy Tuberville earlier in the week. Tuberville would lead his team to a place in the Belk Bowl in his first year and he'll face a Toledo team that looked competent in a win over New Hampshire, only to take a step back in a 49-24 loss at home to No. 22 Missouri last weekend. It was a big blow for Toledo as starting QB Phillip Ely suffered a season-ending ACL tear. Note that the last time these team's played against each other, the Rockets would escape with a 29-23 win back in 2012. However, Toledo can't be happy with the Ely injury, now Logan Woodside is thrust into the spotlight; Woodside would come into the game vs. Missouri and finish 6 of 10 for 52 yards. For the most part Woodside is a bit of an unknown still, he saw limited action last year and would finish a pedestrian 21 of 41 for 240 yards and a TD. With Ely out, the Bearcats defense can key on RB Kareem Hunt, who had a big game last week finishing for 148 yards and three TDs; however, Cincinnati is going to be able to pack the box and make Woodside beat it on the outside, something it will gladly risk, Woodside is a definite step down in ability compared to Ely. On the other side of the field, Cincinnati is also breaking in an inexperienced QB in Gunner Kiel, who could make way for others at time over this game as senior Munchie Legaux is likely also going to see some time. Note that over the last two seasons, Toledo has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 12 as an underdog, while Cincinnati has seen it dip below the posted number in two of its last three vs. the MAC. I think the situation and the trends all point to a lower-scoring affair; play on the UNDER.