Point Spread: -12.00 | -110.00 LA Clippers (Home)
After a sluggish start, the Pistons have looked a lot better of late, especially against the spread. And after a torrid run, the Clippers have come back down to earth for bettors recently. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting "normalcy" to return today and look for the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. LA has won seven straight in this series and I don't expect anything to change tonight. A big reason behind the lop-sided domination has been the play of dynamic PG Chris Paul who has averaged 20.8 points and 11.6 assists in going 5-0 vs. the Pistons since joining the Clippers. Most recently Paul would score 23 points in the third frame in his team's 104-98 road win in Detroit back on November 26th. While LA won SU in that one, it did not in fact cover the spread, which I feel only strengthens today's pick. Paul and the Clippers will also be looking to atone for Friday's 104-96 setback in Washington in which he finished with six turnovers and also for Saturday's 111-106 setback to Milwaukee on Saturday in which he had the same amount: "We have to defend," Paul assessed after the back-to-back losses. "We have to play better." Detroit has won two in a row, ending a 13-game slide in Friday's 105-103 victory at Phoenix, before then beating Sacramento 95-90 the following night. As I like to say, even the sun has to shine on a dog's bum-hole every now and then; suffice it to say, I'm fully expecting the Pistons to return to mediocrity tonight. Note that LA is among the top-shooting teams in the league at 47.9 percent, while Detroit ranks dead last at just 40.9. And note that Detroit is just 5-10 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, while LA is 4-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games. In my opinion, after taking all of the above factors into account, I feel that this line should in fact be a bit larger and do indeed believe the value lies with the CLIPPERS.