PREMIUM
AAA's 10* WEST COAST EXPRESS (+$53K NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Houston vs. San Antonio,
04/08/2015 4:30 PM, Score: 98 - 110
Point Spread: 6.50 | -103.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 6.50 | -103.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Houston Rockets.
I played against the Spurs last night and while that was obviously a bad call, I think we're getting pretty good line value in this spot and while I obviously feel that the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the Rockets to at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the hand full of points they've been afforded tonight. The Rockets catch the Spurs amid an awesome run, San Antonio has won 18 of its last 21 games, getting the job done with suffocating defensive pressure. However, now the home side must face the revenge minded Rockets and NBA leading scorer James Harden. Houston has won ten of 12 while averaging 107.1 points - that PPG average rises to 112.7 during the Rockets recent three-game win skein. Note that Harden has been particularly dominant of late, averaging 38.7 PPG on 54.8 percent shooting and 61.5 from beyond the arc; also note that Harden has torched the Spurs whenever given the opportunity in averaging 26.8 over the past eight meetings (his 28 was not enough in his team's 110-106 road defeat on December 28th). Note that Houston is 16-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, also 14-7 ATS in its last 21 vs. teams with winning records and 27-22 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest. And note that San Antonio is in fact a poor 5-8 ATS vs. division opponents this season and just 3-4 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 6 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to HOUSTON as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
I played against the Spurs last night and while that was obviously a bad call, I think we're getting pretty good line value in this spot and while I obviously feel that the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the Rockets to at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the hand full of points they've been afforded tonight. The Rockets catch the Spurs amid an awesome run, San Antonio has won 18 of its last 21 games, getting the job done with suffocating defensive pressure. However, now the home side must face the revenge minded Rockets and NBA leading scorer James Harden. Houston has won ten of 12 while averaging 107.1 points - that PPG average rises to 112.7 during the Rockets recent three-game win skein. Note that Harden has been particularly dominant of late, averaging 38.7 PPG on 54.8 percent shooting and 61.5 from beyond the arc; also note that Harden has torched the Spurs whenever given the opportunity in averaging 26.8 over the past eight meetings (his 28 was not enough in his team's 110-106 road defeat on December 28th). Note that Houston is 16-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, also 14-7 ATS in its last 21 vs. teams with winning records and 27-22 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest. And note that San Antonio is in fact a poor 5-8 ATS vs. division opponents this season and just 3-4 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 6 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to HOUSTON as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
