AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NBA) Detroit vs. Brooklyn, 02/01/2016 2:30 PM, Score: 105 - 100
Total: 203.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
1* Free Play OVER Pistons/Nets.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Poor defensive play: Both teams are struggling to slow down anyone, Detroit comes in off a 114-106 loss to Cleveland, before falling 111-107 at Toronto on Saturday. Brooklyn has lost three straight and 13 of 15 after falling 105-103 at New Orleans. All signs would point to these two teams pushing the pace from the outset as they look to take advantage of these sloppy opposing defenses and a faster game = more shots and more shots = more points.

ATS statistics: Note that the total has gone OVER the number in four of the Pistons last six on the road, while the Nets have seen the total sail above the posted number in five of their last six in front of the home town crowd. And note that the total has eclipsed the posted number in 18 of these team's last 25 in the series.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends suggest that the OVER is indeed the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports