This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Miami Florida.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: ND took both games vs. Miami last year.

Home court advantage: The Hurricanes have won eight straight at home. It's averaged a 12.9 points margin in its last four ACC home games.

Experience advantage: Notre Dame had an experience edge last year, but not so this season as Miami boasts a starting lineup of seniors.

Classic lookahead spot: It's hard not to imagine the Fighting Irish not getting caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. UNC on Saturday.

ATS statistics: Note that Notre Dame is just 1-2 ATS as an underdog this year, while Miami is 11-7 ATS as the favorite and 7-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational and trend based factors do all indeed point to MIAMI as the savvy move in this contest.

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