PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (INSANE +$28K RUN w/ 10* NBA!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Dallas,
02/03/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 93 - 90
Point Spread: -4.00 | -110.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -4.00 | -110.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: Dallas suffered a 106-82 setback to the Heat on New Years Day, a loss which still represents the team's second lowest point total of the season. The Mavericks have in fact lost eight of the last nine in the series.
Letdown spot: It's hard to gain back momentum and after having their four-game win streak halted in a 115-102 loss at Houston just last night, suffice it to say we think the Heat come in with "heavy legs" this evening.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine when playing on back-to-back days and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Dallas is 14-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and 12-10 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Both teams have injury concerns, so that area is a "wash," DALLAS though clearly has the situational, motivational and trend based factors all working in its favor today.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: Dallas suffered a 106-82 setback to the Heat on New Years Day, a loss which still represents the team's second lowest point total of the season. The Mavericks have in fact lost eight of the last nine in the series.
Letdown spot: It's hard to gain back momentum and after having their four-game win streak halted in a 115-102 loss at Houston just last night, suffice it to say we think the Heat come in with "heavy legs" this evening.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine when playing on back-to-back days and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Dallas is 14-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and 12-10 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Both teams have injury concerns, so that area is a "wash," DALLAS though clearly has the situational, motivational and trend based factors all working in its favor today.
AAA Sports
