PREMIUM
AAA's MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (15-6, 71% +$5,114 L21 NHL!)
(NHL) Boston vs. Buffalo,
02/04/2016 2:00 PM, Score: 3 - 2
Money Line: -158.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: -158.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Boston Bruins.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, this play is based on a couple of different common sense factors:
Classic letdown spot: Buffalo beat the Sens 3-2 to finish the first half and then opened the second with a convincing 4-2 win at Montreal just last night. Suffice it to say, this definitely falls into a classic letdown position for the home side.
Road warriors: The Bruins lost their final home game before the break in a 6-2 setback to the Ducks and then let a two goal lead slip away on Tuesday in a 4-3 OT setback to the Leafs to open the second half. Boston though has played its best hockey on the road this year, going 15-5-2 away from friendly confines.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 12-8 (+2.3 units) vs. the division this year, while Buffalo is just 7-11 (-1.8) vs. the division and 10-31 (-10.9 units) in its last 21 when playing on back-to-back days.
The bottom line: The situation and trends point to BOSTON as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, this play is based on a couple of different common sense factors:
Classic letdown spot: Buffalo beat the Sens 3-2 to finish the first half and then opened the second with a convincing 4-2 win at Montreal just last night. Suffice it to say, this definitely falls into a classic letdown position for the home side.
Road warriors: The Bruins lost their final home game before the break in a 6-2 setback to the Ducks and then let a two goal lead slip away on Tuesday in a 4-3 OT setback to the Leafs to open the second half. Boston though has played its best hockey on the road this year, going 15-5-2 away from friendly confines.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 12-8 (+2.3 units) vs. the division this year, while Buffalo is just 7-11 (-1.8) vs. the division and 10-31 (-10.9 units) in its last 21 when playing on back-to-back days.
The bottom line: The situation and trends point to BOSTON as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
